Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.872934 3.377307 3.965761 4.708466 5.628511 6.740868 8.202838
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.202619 2.850758 3.704005 4.933533 6.700826 9.215494 13.190558
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.795750 2.463060 3.409309 4.893569 7.249692 11.007202 17.818331
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.552393 2.229009 3.247199 4.959665 7.916836 13.130431 23.851210
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.366549 2.036832 3.096195 4.985982 8.496500 15.267095 30.930416
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.256878 1.939645 3.069687 5.202808 9.460320 18.454165 42.021348
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.117585 1.770668 2.890339 5.098830 9.765438 20.384058 51.315502
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.018171 1.653684 2.780321 5.098781 10.280219 22.987293 64.336199
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.925067 1.534652 2.646902 5.021985 10.600848 25.246821 78.152750
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.868007 1.472587 2.610008 5.137590 11.407673 29.176707 101.688926
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.795296 1.372581 2.484610 5.033883 11.637735 31.552168 121.628817
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.771222 1.361553 2.534999 5.340221 13.051412 38.424820 171.883877
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.719283 1.299062 2.488698 5.457531 14.141264 45.532745 241.590902
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.680353 1.259695 2.490769 5.714536 15.838746 56.750937 374.261091
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.625469 1.179440 2.387500 5.667514 16.545750 64.564599 512.574597
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.585539 1.125309 2.334715 5.746576 17.747872 76.194956 754.993040
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.547530 1.070349 2.270788 5.778092 18.810656 88.575018 1104.920825
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.525438 1.047632 2.281312 6.037972 20.950566 110.774147 1891.669561
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.487034 0.983370 2.177624 5.913291 21.405129 122.553497 2645.311577
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.458266 0.938139 2.116275 5.913232 22.455333 141.060654 4090.138792
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.428552 0.887480 2.033408 5.821211 23.038725 157.156663 6060.986999
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.410595 0.862915 2.017148 5.959756 24.912397 190.187225 11288.833621
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.384645 0.816281 1.933716 5.835464 25.319100 209.225422 17406.762723